By: @Kyle Packham
The non-profit and non-partisan Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) released a new poll October 24 indicating likely voters continue to favor Proposition 4 by a margin of 60 percent “yes” to 38 percent “no” and two percent “don’t know”. Meanwhile, the same respondents are narrowly split on Proposition 5, with 48 percent “yes”, 50 percent “no”, and three percent “don’t know”. CSDA has adopted a support position on both Propositions 4 and 5.
Prop. 4 is called “Authorizes Bonds for Safe Drinking Water, Wildfire Prevention, and Protecting Communities and Natural Lands From Climate Risks.” Legislative Statute. It authorizes $10 billion in general obligation bonds for water, wildfire prevention, and protection of communities and lands.
Prop. 5 is called “Allows Local Bonds for Affordable Housing and Public Infrastructure With 55% Voter Approval.” Legislative Constitutional Amendment. It allows approval of local infrastructure and housing bonds with 55 percent vote, which is the same threshold as local school bonds under current law.
According to PPIC’s analysis of its poll results, partisans are deeply divided on Prop. 4, with 81 percent of Democrats and 58 percent of independents in support, compared to 27 percent of Republicans. Across regions and demographic groups, majorities of likely voters would vote yes, although support is highest in the San Francisco Bay Area (71%) and among Latinos (68%), college graduates (66%), those age 18 to 44 (72%), and renters (74%).
When asked which of the 10 state propositions on the November 5 ballot likely voters are most interested in, a plurality of respondents (28%) selected Proposition 36 (Allows Felony Charges and Increases Sentences for Certain Drug and Theft Crimes). The next highest interest (17%) was for Proposition 33 related to rent control. Propositions 4, 5, and 35 rounded out the top-five, with each garnering nine percent of “highest interest” responses respectively. Prop. 35 provides permanent funding for Medi-Cal health care services.
Asked to name the most important issue facing people in California today, nearly three in ten likely voters (28 percent) say the cost of living, the economy, and jobs, followed by housing costs and availability (19 percent) and homelessness (14 percent).
Interviews for the PPIC survey took place from October 7-15. The findings are based on responses from 1,646 California adult residents. The sampling error is +/- 3.1 percent at the 95 percent confidence level for the total unweighted sample and +/- 3.7 percent for the 1,137 likely voters.
For more on the October 2024 PPIC survey, visit: PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government - Public Policy Institute of California
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